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Monday, April 21, 2025

Tesla (TSLA) valuation surges to equal subsequent 10 greatest automakers over Trump/Musk relationship


Tesla’s inventory (TSLA) has surged to a $1 trillion valuation – seemingly over the idea that the Trump and Musk relationship goes to learn the automaker.

The corporate is just about value greater than the subsequent 10 greatest automakers mixed.

Tesla has prolonged its post-election rally one other 7% this morning – leading to its valuation surpassing $1 trillion for the primary time in years.

The corporate has lengthy been essentially the most helpful automaker on this planet, however it’s now value greater than the subsequent 10 greatest automakers mixed:

Contemplating there was no important information regarding Tesla this week apart from the US elections, it’s pretty clear that the most recent rally is expounded to the election and the shut relationship between Tesla CEO Elon Musk and President Elect Donald Trump.

What’s Trump going to do for Tesla?

Tesla added over $200 billion to its valuation for the reason that election. That’s a complete Toyota added to its valuation.

What does justify that? What can Trump do that may assist Tesla that a lot?

It’s laborious to inform precisely as what Trump says he’ll do and what he really does aren’t at all times the identical issues, however there are a couple of theories.

The President Elect made it clear that he wished to take away the EV incentives that saved Tesla’s gross sales from falling within the US over the previous few years. This can make Tesla’s automobiles dearer, however some Tesla shareholders are hoping that it’s going to cripple different EV competitors, leaving Tesla alone sooner or later.

They’re anticipating one thing related with the tariffs that Trump has been promising to impose on items coming from different nations.

The auto trade is globalized and US automakers depend on components from different nations, however on common, Tesla is extra vertically built-in than different automakers.

Whereas all automotive prices are prone to go up, Tesla buyers imagine the corporate will have the ability to abdomen the tariffs higher than the competitors.

Lastly, on the automotive manufacturing entrance, there’s additionally the extra conspiratorial idea that Trump may carve out exceptions constructed particularly for Tesla now that Musk has his ear.

Whereas automotive manufacturing remains to be the majority of Tesla’s enterprise, Musk was clear that he believes that “Tesla is value nothing with out self-driving.” Trump can’t assist Tesla obtain self-driving, however Musk has hinted that he may construct a federal framework to get self-driving methods approve on the federal degree quite than state-by-state.

This is able to assist Tesla extra simply roll out when/if it solves self-driving.

Electrek’s Take

They’ve some good factors about Tesla being extra aggressive than different EV automakers in a harsher price atmosphere.

Tesla has already proved it through the provide chain disaster amid the pandemic.

My downside with it’s that it’s not good for electrical automobiles. It’s solely good for Tesla. At Electrek, we’re for the acceleration of EV adoption so as to assist make sure the transportation and vitality industries are on an accelerated path to sustainability.

Tesla was once for that too.

Inside a situation the place EV incentives are eliminated and automotive prices improve as a consequence of tariffs, EV adoption goes down within the US. Electrical automobiles shall be dearer on the sticker value and traditionally, that has at all times resulted in fewer gross sales.

It’s going to be true of Tesla and all different EV automakers. The one method you possibly can see that as been good for Tesla is that if that kills the opposite automakers and solely Tesla survives.

That’s an actual prospects, however it might be unhealthy for the mission to speed up electrical transportation.

It goes towards Tesla’s unique mission, which was to speed up the whole trade’s transition.

In a method, it appears like Tesla was early and took benefit of the incentives and as different firms try to catch up, Tesla, or quite Musk, goals to shut the door behind them. This goes towards the unique mission.

If that’s actually what’s going on, Tesla shouldn’t be mission pushed anymore. It has grow to be all in regards to the inventory.

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