Elon Musk lastly admits Tesla’s HW3 won’t help full self-driving and that he doesn’t really know what it can take.
Hundreds of thousands of Tesla automobiles are geared up with HW3 computer systems.
For the higher a part of the yr, we have now been reporting that Tesla can’t obtain its promise of “full self-driving on HW3, and it wants to return clear about it.
CEO Elon Musk lastly took a primary step in that path in the course of the convention name following the discharge of Tesla’s Q3 2024 monetary outcomes.
The CEO stated when requested about Tesla reaching its promised unsupervised self-driving on HW3 automobiles:
We aren’t 100% positive. HW4 has a number of instances the potential of HW3. It’s simpler to get issues to work on HW4 and it takes quite a lot of efforts to squeeze that into HW3. There may be some probability that HW3 doesn’t obtain the protection degree that permits for unsupervised FSD.
That is the primary time that Musk admitted that HW3 might probably not help unsupervised self-driving.
Nonetheless, as we beforehand reported, Tesla is presently utilizing each NN nodes on HW3 despite the fact that one was initially meant as redundancy, which you might want to obtain Tesla’s promised degree 4-5 autonomy.
This makes it just about inconceivable for Tesla to ship on its promise as Tesla would wish to maintain growing software program to resolve self-driving, which continues to be removed from conducting, after which not solely have it on HW3, however optimize it sufficient to suit on a single node.
He stated that Tesla would supply a pc improve if Tesla discovered for positive that it couldn’t ship on HW3:
If that seems to be the case, we’ll improve those that purchased HW3 FSD without spending a dime. And we have now designed the system to be upgradable.
Whereas the system is certainly “upgradable”, as Musk himself beforehand said, HW3 can’t be upgraded to HW4 because it presently exist.
He stated it wouldn’t make sense, and he’s proper. We all know that HW4 makes use of completely different energy and digicam harnesses. The entire pc can also be a unique kind issue that will make it arduous to suit the place the HW3 is put in.
Tesla would wish to design a brand new model of the HW4 that may be retrofitted into HW3 vehicles.
Musk insists that HW3 cameras are “succesful”, despite the fact that HW4 cameras have about 5x extra megapixels, which might level to him seeing the compute energy as the larger concern.
Electrek’s Take
I feel the extra important remark is that this:
“We don’t really know the reply to that.”
Once more, I’d enterprise to say that this isn’t true. They know the reply and the reply is not any for the explanations said above, however even when that was an correct assertion, it ought to be worrying.
Elon admits that he, or Tesla actually, doesn’t know exactly what it takes to get to full autonomy. That ought to be clear to anybody who has been following his feedback on it for years. He stated yearly for the final 5 years that Tesla would resolve autonomy by the top of the yr.
Now, he’s assured that this may occur subsequent yr, and we must always imagine him. Why?
The info are that Tesla was improper about the truth that HW2.5 is able to self-driving. It was improper about HW3 being able to self-driving, and it is vitally seemingly improper about HW4 being able to self-driving. On the very least, it received’t know for positive till it solves it.
If that’s the case, why is Tesla promoting the “Full Self-Driving” package deal and saying it can occur subsequent yr?
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